NewsFutures Prediction Market Solutions
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Our pioneering work with prediction markets has been covered by:

Prediction Market

A prediction market is a particularly good tool for predicting event probabilities, but it can also be used to forecast values for specific variables.

In a prediction market, participants trade stocks whose ultimate value is determined by some clearly defined outcome in the future. They submit orders to buy and sell in a "continuous double auction" (CDA) and trade directly with each other at the negotiated prices.

Optionally, a robot market maker can be activated to add liquidity to the order book.

Our prediction market software has been used by some clients to operate high-stakes real money markets (e.g, here), which testifies ot its robustness and reliability. We rely on it to power our own real-money market, Bet2Give.

Trading and Stocks

  • Market Structure:
    • All-or-nothing (binary) or continuous (linear) stock payoffs;
       
    • A stock's minimum and maximum values can be any integer, even negative.
       
    • Stocks can be organized into topic-related groups and separately endowed tournaments;
       
    • Users own a separate trading account for each tournament;
       
    • Tournaments can be open to all, invitation-only, or private;
       
    • Each tournament maintains its own ranking of participants;
       
  • Trading Engine:
    • Continuous Double Auction, with optional robot market maker;
       
    • Real-time order matching: one-to-many / one-to-one / partial matches / multiple matches;
       
    • Buy / Sell / Short / Cover;
       
    • Ability to purchase fixed-price baskets of alternative stocks;
       
    • Trading can be anonymous (or not);
       
    • Trading history charts available at four different scales (one day, one week, one month, or full history) and three different sizes;
       

Live Demo

To experience the thrill of trading in a NewsFutures prediction market, we recommend you try either of the following websites:

Bet2Give: Our innovative charity-driven real-money prediction market

NewsFutures Prediction Market: Our flagship prediction exchange, free to play since 2000